BPTT
Cassia C is BPTT’s next platform and part of the the Cassia Compression development, which will access one trillion cubic feet of hydrocarbon resources.
The jacket and bridge are currently being fabricated at TOFCO while the topsides and bridge link are being constructed in Altamira, Mexico. The Cassia Compression development will enable BPTT to access and produce low pressure gas reserves from currently-producing fields in the Greater Cassia Area, maximising recovery from these existing resources, the company said in a release Friday.
The project was sanctioned in 2018 and is expected to come online in 2021. McDermott International is the engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) provider for the project. Both the jacket and topside are on schedule.
The Cassia C jacket is the latest of BPTT’s infrastructure to be fabricated at TOFCO. Six out of BPTT’s 15 offshore platforms were constructed at TOFCO. Including Cassia C, this represents about US$350 million of investment.
The Prime Minister visited the TOFCO fabrication yard in La Brea with BPTT team, led by regional president Claire Fitzpatrick, to view fabrication of the jacket and bridge landing for the company’s Cassia C project.
Fitzpatrick said, “That is something that we at BPTT are proud of and I believe that it is something everyone at TOFCO should be proud of as well. This demonstrates our commitment to local content and developing local capability. We value our partnership with McDermott and TOFCO and see it as one of the industry’s real success stories.”
The Cassia Compression project fits into BPTT’s Area Development plan which outlines the direction and pace of the company’s activities to develop its resources in the Columbus Basin. The plan includes a combination of exploration, development projects and activities focused on maximising production from existing fields.
Fitzpatrick said there was increasing competition to access funding for projects and therefore local fabrication must remain competitive.
“The key to continued development and success of the local fabrication industry is continued investment in developing skills and focusing on the productivity of the workforce. Trinidad has had a good track record and can capitalise on other opportunities by focusing on being globally competitive.”
Trinity Exploration & Production plc
Q2 2019 Operational Update
Steady production, strong cash growth and first 2019 new infill well imminent
- Trinity Exploration & Production plc (AIM: TRIN), the independent E&P company focused on Trinidad and Tobago, today provides an update on its operations for the three-month period ended 30 June 2019 (“Q2 2019” or “the period”).
- Production volumes over the quarter were successfully maintained across our assets at an average of 2,996 bopd, in line with expectations. Production is expected to rise in the second half of the year with the resumption of onshore drilling. Drilling of the first new infill well of the 2019 campaign is expected to commence at the WD-2 asset on 18 July 2019. Thisfirst phase of the 2019 drilling campaign, which is currently expected to comprise up to eight new wells, will also include the first High Angle Well (“HAW”), FR 996.
- During the period, the Company continued to control its operating costs and capital expenditures carefully.
As a consequence, unaudited cash balances increased to US$ 17.8 million as at 30 June 2019 – up from US$ 12.3 million at the end of Q1.
Q2 Operational Highlights
- Group average production volumes were 2,996 bopd for the period (Q1 2019: 3,020 bopd)
- 8.6% increase in year-on-year Group production for H1 2019 with average production of 3,008 bopd (H1 2018: 2,771 bopd)
- 2019 drilling programme has now commenced with the rig mobilised and the first well due to spud on 18 July 2019
- Contingent upon the prevailing oil price environment, and subsequent investment, net average production for 2019 is expected to be in the range of 3,000 – 3,300 bopd, consistent with the guidance issued at the time of the 2018 final results
Q2 Financial Highlights
- Cash balance of US$17.8 million (unaudited) as at 30 June 2019 (31 March 2018: S$12.3 million)
- Hedging Update: Trinity has taken advantage of recent oil price strength to put in place an initial layer of hedging to help mitigate the impact of Supplementary Petroleum Taxes (“SPT”). The hedging is designed to protect a portion of Group cash flows between US$ 50.0 – US$ 55.0/bbl thereby partially offsetting the impact of SPT whilst
retaining upside exposure to rising oil prices over the majority of production. - The hedges comprise a six month put spread with a WTI price floor of US$ 50.0/bbl and a cap of US$ 55.0/bbl covering 12,500 barrels per month and a twelve month put spread with a WTI price floor of US$ 50.0/bbl and a cap of US$ 55.0/bbl with a US$
64.40 strike price call covering a further 12,500 barrels per month. Further such layers may be implemented in H2 2019, depending on market conditions.
Outlook
- The second half of the year is expected to be extremely active for the Company with the recommencement of the onshore drilling programme. With the Group’s ongoing and continued focus on controlling costs and development of its assets, it remains well placed to provide significant upside to shareholders both in terms of production and returns.
- Within the H2 drilling campaign the Company will be drilling its first HAW, the FR 996 well. This well is the first of a series of HAW wells that the Group expects to drill and complete in the near term. Although not commonly deployed onshore in Trinidad, HAWs are now the industry standard in many basins around the world and have been modelled by the Company to yield initial production rates and reserves of more than 2x those achieved from conventional vertical wells.
- The Group’s focus for the medium term continues to be delivering the first phase of the TGAL development, which has the potential to deliver standalone peak production rates in the range of 5,000 – 6,000 bopd. As the TGAL project matures, discussions on the project, and on the Galeota licence as a whole, are generating good traction and momentum with the supply chain, the regulators and with Heritage, the Group’s partner.
- The Company continues to work hard on all facets of its business by maintaining close attention to base production, growing production through new infill drilling, progressing the TGAL development, and being well positioned to capitalise on the changing local market.
- The Company will announce its interim results for the six-month period ended 30 June 2019 in early September. This announcement will provide further detail on production, margins, operating break-even, costs and profitability – highlighting the growing value of the Company’s assets and continued strong financial performance.
Bruce Dingwall CBE, Executive Chairman of Trinity, commented:
“Our strong balance sheet and robust base production mean that we are delivering our financial and production targets, and at the same time, ensuring that we can take advantage of any strategic opportunities that may arise. We remain focused on maximising output and returns for shareholders and continue to evaluate the best ways of protecting and enhancing those returns through prudent treasury management, industry leading operating practices and technical innovation. Given the strength of our business model, the ongoing work programme and visibility afforded by our balance sheet, we continue to face the future with confidence.“
Enquiries
For further information please visit www.trinityexploration.com or contact:
Trinity Exploration & Production plc +44 (0)131 240 3860
Bruce Dingwall CBE, Executive Chairman
Jeremy Bridglalsingh, Chief Financial Officer
Tracy Mackenzie, Corporate Development Manager
SPARK Advisory Partners Limited (Nominated Adviser and Financial Adviser)
+44 (0)20 3368 3550
Mark Brady
Miriam Greenwood
Andrew Emmott
Cenkos Securities PLC (Broker)
Joe Nally (Corporate Broking)
Neil McDonald
Beth McKiernan
Derrick Lee
Pete Lynch
+44 (0)20 7397 8900
+44 (0)131 220 6939
Whitman Howard Limited (Equity Adviser) +44 (0)20 7659 1234
Nick Lovering
Hugh Rich
Walbrook PR Limited +44 (0)20 7933 8780
Nick Rome trinityexploration@walbrookpr.com
About Trinity (www.trinityexploration.com)
Trinity is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused solely on Trinidad and Tobago. Trinity operates producing and development assets both onshore and offshore, in the shallow water West and East Coasts of Trinidad. Trinity’s portfolio includes current production, significant near-term production growth opportunities from low risk developments and multiple exploration prospects with the
potential to deliver meaningful reserves/resources growth.
The Company operates all of its nine licences and, across all of the Group’s assets, management’s estimate of 2P reserves as at the end of 2018 was 24.5 mmbbls.
Group 2C contingent resources are estimated to be 18.8 mmbbls.
The Group’s overall 2P plus 2C volumes are therefore 43.3 mmbbls.
Trinity is quoted on the AIM market of the London Stock Exchange under the ticker TRIN.
Nutrien of Canada boosts investment
Nutrien of Canada is the world’s largest provider of crop inputs and services with operations and investments in 14 countries. The fertilizer company intends to expand investment in Trinidad and Tobago.
The commitment came at a meeting of the company’s executives and prime minister . The company will execute a multimillion-dollar plant upgrade as it continues to position itself as a major player in the local hydrocarbon industry. Nutrien received an update on work completed in the local energy sector to secure the viability of the gas upstream and downstream industry. Both parties reiterated their cooperation and building a strong mutually beneficial. partnership.
Nutrien Trinidad, formerly PCS Nitrogen Trinidad Limited, is the country’s largest ammonia producer and one of the largest nitrogen manufacturing complexes in the world. The business in Trinidad and Tobago accounts for more than 35% of its global production portfolio.
Chuck Magro, president and chief executive officer, Raef Sully, executive vice-president and CEO of Nitrogen & Phosphate and Ian Welch, director of Nutrien Trinidad, represented the company.
BREAKING NEWS
ECO SENDS BEST WISHES TO HERITAGE CEO MIKE WILEY FOR A RAPID RECOVERY
Committee to manage Heritage
Government confirmed that Heritage Petroleum Chief Executive Officer Mike Wiley, recovering from major surgery, has been advised by doctors not to travel to Trinidad until treatment is complete. Wiley has been out of the country for the last two months following diagnosis of illness but sources say his prognosis looks good and he is working from home in Texas.
Board member Nigel Campbell has been acting CEO but the board agreed that a committee including senior management, board members and Wiley would oversee operations. The directive for the appointment of the committee is expected shortly.
Wiley, who has decades of experience in the international oil and gas sector, was hired as CEO of Heritage the company that adopted the exploration and production business of Petrotrin. Wiley said his mandate was to get Heritage to the Top 25 international competitor level (from Petrotrin’s bottom 25 ranking) and ensure exploration and production (E&P) drives the restructured entity as the Government plans.
With government tight-lipped on the issue, Heritage Chairman Wilfred Espinet ignored calls.
Opposition spokesman on energy David Lee demanded that the Minister of Energy and the Board of Trinidad Petroleum Holdings Limited (TPHL) account for the absence of the CEO.
BREAKING NEWS
Espinet replaced at TPHL, Wylie loses Heritage job
The Energy and Finance ministers announced that because of the illness of the CEO Mike Wylie, the new Heritage board was mandated to find a replacement CEO .
Wilfred Espinet, who supervised Petrotrin’s transition and chaired successor companies’ boards was also replaced by Attorney Michael Quamina as chair of Trinidad Petroleum Holdings Company Ltd and Petrotrin Legacy Company. Newman George will chair Paria and Guaracara.
Few people could have restructured the company and securied the financing of the (US)$850 million bond but the restructuring is more or less complete and the company is now moving to operations to get oil production up to improve the sovereign credit rating.
Espinet in a memo to Heritage stood by Wylie who needed to be part of the team because of his ability to drive Heritage forward. Espinet said firing Wylie would be more time consuming and costly than allowing him six months to recuperate.Wylie has a three-year contract with remuneration of US$450,000 annually – about TT$240,000 monthly- plus housing, transportation and health perks.Heritage posted a substantial profit.
OWTU noted Espinet sacked 50,000 workers .
Cronyism and nepotism angered UNC critics who questioned Espinet’s replacement by attorney Michael Quamina, an associate of the prime minister whom he represents in ongoing “fake oil” investigations, lacking energy experience.
UNC said they had no confidence in the energy sector with Newman George chairing energy companies, as the husband of the House Speaker and chairman of the HDC when allegations were raised against then housing minister, Marlene McDonald, now on bail.
The new boards are-
TPHL – Michael Quamina (chairman), Reynold Adjodhasingh (deputy), Newman George, Anthony Chan Tack, Joel Harding, Selwyn Lashley, Eustace Nancis.
HERITAGE – Michael Quamina (chairman), Newman George (deputy) Reynold Adjodhasingh, Selwyn Lashley, Joel Harding, Ryan Toby, George Leonard Lewis, Peter Clarke, Reeza Saleem.
PARIA – Newman George (chairman), Eustance Nancis, Christine Sahadeo, Peter Clarke, Reeza Saleem.
GUARACARA – Newman George (chairman), Anthony Chan Tack, Peter Clarke, Christine Sahadeo.
Shell hires Deep Down
Shell Trinidad and Tobago ordered umbilical support services from Houston-based oilfield services company Deep Down on the Poinsettia platform located off the northwest coast of Trinidad in 530 feet of water. The order is for the design, fabrication, project management and installation support for an umbilical repair/replacement package to restore communications to the Poinsettia Deep Well offshore. Operations will likely occur in the first quarter of 2020.
Ron Smith, Chief Executive Officer of Deep Down, Inc. stated, “This award further highlights the success of our efforts to continue expanding our customer base internationally, especially in the provision of inspection, maintenance and repair solutions.”
VAT exemption for Paria
The Finance Minister confirmed exemption of SEC Paria Fuels Trading from $382 million in Value Added Tax by Government on fuel mports, in an effort to assist the company with its cash flow. He said there is no relationship between VAT on imported fuel and on VAT being paid at the pump.
Motorists paying 12.5 per cent VAT at the pump will not benefit from the decision by the Ministry of Finance to allow Paria a waiver on VAT.
A letter to Paria Fuel Chairman Wilfred Espinet stated
“In May, 2019 the government of the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago agreed that in accordance with the provision of section 55 (2) of the Value Added Tax Act Chap 75:06, which applies Section 124 of the Income Tax Act, Chap 75:01, to remission to VAT Act in the sum, $382,499,481,83 on cargoes of refined petroleum products imported by Paria Fuel Trading Company Limited as at April 30th 2019.”
Government VAT is due on all Paria imports, including fuel bought to resell regionally. However the regional markets do not attract VAT and it takes time for the Ministry to reimburse Paria . Therefore it is trying to avoid paying VAT on the imported fuel in advance.
“The request was not for Paria to be exempt from paying Value Added Tax, but rather for the company not to have to pay VAT on imports in advance. This was having a negative impact on the company’s cash flow, as the company then had to… reclaim the money from the Government as VAT on export sales is zero-rated. For local sales, Paria collects VAT on its receipts and remits this to the Government.”
Opposition leader Kamla Persad Bissessar alleged that fuel prices will rise and there will be shortages at the pump because the Chairman admitted that it was a nightmare finding US $20 million a month in the banking system to buy fuel.
“There is a substantial shortfall between the amount of foreign exchange earned by Heritage and the amount needed to import fuels each month by Paria. Approximately US$20 million a month is accessed through the local banking system. The process of finding a supply (of USD) in time to meet payment schedules is extremely challenging. My understanding is that there is no regulation in force that will allow foreign exchange to be directed to these imports on a priority basis. As a consequence, cargo often arrives in Trinidad and delays in payments for the shipment results in significant demurrage that has to be absorbed by the company. While we seek to find a source for the foreign exchange shortfall, this imbalance is structural. The ultimate solution is to introduce policies to encourage a more prudent approach to fuel consumption. This is consistent with obligations restricting our emissions.”
In January the Chairman urged the government to pay bills on time. The Minister said that the matter did not arise since the government was not at the time owing Paria money. However, the time frame of exemption proves Government owned Paria VAT refunds in January.
BHP growing gas resource offshore
Australian major BHP expects to take an investment decision later this year on the Ruby gas project off Trinidad and Tobago, the company said in its latest results statement.
Scoring a hat – trick, BHP completed Phase 3 of its deepwater drilling campaign around the islands: the Bélé-1, Tuk-1, and Hi-Hat-1 exploratory wells in the Northern licenses all encountered gas, confirming additional volumes around the Bongos discovery.
Technical work is under way to assess further exploration targets and commercial options for the Northern gas play. These discoveries mark seven successful exploration wells out of nine drilled offshore Trinidad over the course of the fiscal year. BHP is the operator of the new Pliocene-era gas wells, owning a 70% stake in each.
The company spudded the deepwater Trion-3DEL appraisal well offshore Mexico, the main aims being to further delineate the scale and characterization of the field.
In Australia, as part of the North West Shelf Joint Venture, BHP participated in the Achernar-1 exploration to fulfil a well commitment on the WA-28-P exploration permit. However, this was a dry hole. The Bass Strait West Barracouta offshore project is tracking to plan.
Trinity and Weatherford International conduct first ForeSite trial
Trinity Exploration & Production, the independent E&P company focused on Trinidad and Tobago, entered into a partnership with Weatherford International to pilot the use of Weatherford’s ForeSite® Production Optimization Production 4.0 platform (Software and Automation) to maximise returns from the Company’s onshore wells. This initiative is the first instance where technology of this kind has been deployed in onshore oil producing acreage of Trinidad.
Weatherford’s ForeSite Production Optimization Production 4.0 platform provides software and optimization technology for real time pump monitoring and optimization and has been deployed on both progressive cavity and sucker rod pumps. This state-of-the-art technology combines proven Weatherford production optimisation technologies with the Internet of Things, cloud computing and advanced analytics.
By providing support for a broad array of production methods and the ability to optimise an asset from well to surface facility, the ForeSite platform will enable Trinity to identify and prioritise production optimisation opportunities. The solution includes Weatherford’s industry leading Flow Control Technology (FCT) and ForeSite Edge technologies at the well head and works in conjunction with ForeSite Production Optimization software to provide a complete well head to desktop solution.
The results of the pilot will be assessed to understand the level of improved efficiency and the impact of optimisation technologies on maximising asset value in respect of the pilot wells.
If deemed successful, Trinity aims to utilise continuous production optimisation in order to reduce operating costs and increase reserves and production from individual wells. The Directors anticipate that the cumulative effect of extending this technology and approach across the Company’s assets will enable it to maximise economic returns for the Company.
Bruce Dingwall CBE, Executive Chairman of Trinity, commented:
‘As a technically and commercially driven production company, we are highly focused on maximising returns from our assets. As such, we believe that with this exciting new technology application and continuous data measurement and capture we would be able to optimise lift efficiency on key wells, reduce downtime and enhance productivity.
‘This system has the potential to assist in our decision-making and planning process as we focus on achieving our production targets. We are proud to be the first company to use this technology onshore in Trinidad and believe that it will enable us to protect and grow base production. When you couple this state-of-the-art measurement and production optimisation alongside the Company’s ambitious plans to drill the first onshore High Angle Well in Trinidad, as part of the Company’s 2019 drilling campaign, it is clear Trinity is a technical leader in its field.
‘We really have enjoyed the close working relationship that we have developed with the Weatherford team and we look forward to working with them in further digitising and optimising our production operations.’
Manoj Nimbalkar, Vice President, Production Automation and Software for Weatherford, commented:
‘We are proud to collaborate with Trinity in their production optimisation goals. As the industry’s only enterprise-level optimisation platform from the wellbore to point of sale, ForeSite Production Optimization software transforms historical trending, real-time data, and physics-based models into an intuitive and visual interface. The deployment of ForeSite production optimization ecosystem will empower Trinity’s team to make decisions that improve production, reduce operating costs and enhance personnel efficiency.’
Source: Trinity Exploration
Trinidad Petroleum and NGC
Is there a shortage of fuel? Will there be an increase in the price of fuel?
Opposition Leader Kamla Persad-Bissessar raised these questions at the United National Congress in Fyzabad based on a document left in her mailbox. The letter by chairman of Trinidad Petroleum Holdings Limited Wilfred Espinet to Energy Minister Franklin Khan was about a monthly shortfall of US$20 million to purchase refined fuel to supply the country.
Paria Fuel Trading, one of four companies which replaced Petrotrin, was established to buy fuel on the international market for sale to NP and Unipet. Persad-Bissessar said the company is in serious financial trouble. “This poses a significant threat to the supply of fuel to the nation.” .
The UNC leader accused the PNM of causing National Gas Company’s financial woes. She read from a Trinidad Petroleum letter dated June 7s at Fyzabad: “What this letter tells us is that we are in for some serious trouble with respect to the supply of fuel.”
In the letter, Espinet lists some of the key immediate risks, including the ongoing shortfall of US$20 million a month to purchase refined fuels. Persad-Bissessar described this as “a structural problem that is going to result in a shortage of fuels unless corrected.That is not losing money that is haemorrhaging money . . . Does this mean that they will increase the price of fuel at the pumps for you? Whatever it means, it is clear as day that Paria Fuel Trading, the company with the sole responsibility for importing this country’s fuel—super, diesel, premium, kerosene and jet fuel—is in big trouble.”
A second immediate risk is “the failure to implement ex-terminal pricing for imported fuel, despite the company and Minister of Energy having developed a formula since November 2018.”
This was the reason for the rush in Parliament to pass amendments to the Petroleum Act and Petroleum Production Subsidy and Levy Act. That should have been done last year when Petrotrin was shut down and they started importing fuel. “That has to be the height of negligence on the part of the Minister of Energy.”
Espinet highlighted inability to secure letters from the ministry and the Board of Inland Revenue to close the 2018 year-end audit and finalise long term financing. Requests for these letters have been pursued daily for months. Petrotrin cannot publish financial reports for 2018 because of outstanding issues regarding royalty payments to the Ministry and taxes owed.
She questioned the overall cost of refinancing Petrotrin’s US$850 million bond debt and the closure, the biggest economic tragedy in the country’s history. , Persad-Bissessar said a UNC government would reconsolidate Petrotrin as a fully reintegrated company and kick start the refinery. The Prime Minister and the National Security Minister “… got totally outsmarted” in Houston to meet major gas companies. “The end result is that NGC now has to pay a lot more to buy natural gas and sell at a lower price … because the price they negotiated was too high. NGC now is in serious trouble” because of political interference. This could be one reason why the chairman resigned.
Foreign policy
The UNC MP for Naparima accused the Prime Minister of being “devoid from reality” as he attacked the regime’s diplomacy and foreign policies. “The ceaseless barrage of cases in which TT has been given a negative image on the international platform is testament, to any sensible onlooker, that .. foreign policy, or lack thereof, under the PNM is nothing short of an absolute failure.”
He accused Rowley of “pavement diplomacy” by chastising and insulting diplomats from key trading partners, pointing to the recent scolding of US officials. This was possibly why the US was now using Jamaica as a major transhipment point for the CARICOM energy market.
“Regional news reports indicate that Petrojam Limited, of Jamaica, is now supplying the Barbados National Terminal Company Ltd with oil following the closure of Petrotrin. And that the “BNTCL chairman, Alex McDonald said the deal is far more competitive than the previous with Petrotrin.”
The Government failed to mount effective responses to international travel bulletins warning visitors about high crime rates.
“Multiple travel advisories warn potential tourists that: Shootings, kidnappings and other gang and drug related violence occur,’ and that ‘there is a risk of you being in the wrong place at the wrong time. Their foreign policy inadequacies are made manifest daily. Foreign policy ought to be an extension on the global arena of our domestic realities and circumstances. Is this the image we want in the international arena?”
Wth a US Department of State Trafficking in Persons Report 2019 ranking at Tier 2, after a two-week Venezuelan registration process, the country has an unknown number who did not register living and working under the radar.
“This registration policy is just another example of poor planning. There were so many unanswered questions concerning the process. The UNC has called from day one for a well thought out refugee policy that is humane and based on best practices.”
The former ambassador said experts warned of an epidemic of diseases on an unprecedented scale in Latin America and Venezuelans are bringing malaria into the countries they flee to.
“Time and time again this Government proves unable to increase the standard of TT’s international business footprint. … the insufficient policy from this inept PNM administration is among the factors responsible for Moody’s Investors Service downgrade of TT in response to the decline of the energy sector.
“The latest in the string of the PNM’s incompetence is that after four years of not attending UN General Assembly meetings, the Prime Minister has now seen it fit to express an interest in attending this year’s meeting to highlight TT’s issues. Their entire approach has simply been ‘too little too late. TT deserves a Government that does not portray its mediocrity as a triumph.”
Rating Agencies
Moody’s Good news
International ratings agency Moody’s expressed optimism for TT’s economic outlook:
“Moody’s today published an in-depth statement that TT’s credit profile will benefit from improved prospects from higher energy production, moderate fiscal deficits and large financial buffers.”
The FINANCE Minister said that Moody’s indicated in its statement that “Government has been effective in restructuring Petrotrin.”
Het criticised financial “gurus” who claimed Standard and Poor’s (S&P) latest economic outlook for TT was bad news. “We have to walk before we can run.” S&P had lowered TT’s credit rating by one level from BBB+ to BBB and upgraded the outlook from negative to stable. BBB is still an investment grade rating but TT is still two levels into the S&P investment scale grade.
The ratings reflected a solid level of government financial assets that “mitigate the effect of economic performance cycles on TT’s fiscal and external performance.” A former minister and economist Dr Vaalmiki Arjoon did not share optimism about the S&P outlook.
In Chaguanas Opposition Leader Kamla Persad-Bissessar asked whether the International Monetary Fund (IMF) was invited for its annual Article IV review. Persad-Bissessar questioned whether the Finance Minister was afraid of what an IMF review will reveal. , “S&P downgraded T&T from BBB+ to BBB and before that Moody’s downgraded us. …Where is the IMF Article IV enquiry? We are in the month of July and by now, the IMF would be here conducting their Article IV review and then they would present their reports on the status of our country.” The IMF have been coming for annual reviews for “donkey years.” The review was critical to chart the way forward as there have too many public relations “spins” on bad ratings. “The Article IV review is going to help us as we plan forward what needs to be done.”
In its World Economic Outlook in April, the IMF projected zero per cent growth for T&T in 2019.
Growth for 2018 was y 0.03 per cent.
The Finance Minister said financial “gurus” should admit that T&T is still investment grade. Moody’s in-depth statement advised that this country’s credit profile “will benefit from improved growth prospects from higher energy production, moderate fiscal deficits and large financial buffers and the government has been effective in restructuring Petrotrin.”
Standard and Poor’s
Trinidad and Tobago suffered a downgrade in its sovereign ratings from credit rating agency Standard and Poor’s.
In its update, S&P said the decision to downgrade was based on lower-than-expected energy production and economic growth which it expects to weaken the government’s revenue base and delay its plans to balance the budget by fiscal year 2020-2021. “At the same time, institutional reforms to strengthen revenue collection and improve the provision of timely economic data have taken longer than expected, and we do not expect to see material dividends from these reforms in the near term.”
These factors weaken the resilience against external shocks.
“As a result, we are lowering our long-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings on Trinidad and Tobago to ‘BBB’ from ‘BBB+’ and are affirming our short-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings at ‘A-2’.”
It was also revising down its transfer and convertibility assessment to ‘BBB+’ from ‘A’.
After the 7-island archipelago was downgraded by international credit rating agency Standard and Poor’s, the Prime Minister claims that its business and its future are in good hands while rated as an investment grade but it remains in serious difficulty.
The government was “not on that wavelength” and was doing everything to ensure the situation did not materialise. Noting recent missions to all the major energy players, he said, “That trip was to make sure that this prediction of a reduction in gas production does not come to pass.” Standard and Poor’s is also predicting a loss in oil production but shuttered Petrotrin drilling zero wells evolved into its successor Heritage now drilling 16-18 wells. “That prediction will not come to pass.“
The rating agency upgraded its outlook from negative to stable. “The reason for this is our favourable external profile and our stable democracy. They also say it reflects on the country’s solid level of Government financial assets and good fiscal and external performance,” Rowley said. Government’s “unpleasant” assignment, is to run the country on $10 billion less in income. “Any government that is not prepared to take the hard decisions for the people’s interest is a government that you have no use for.”
Pointe-a-Pierre and Point Fortin
The UNC Pointe-a-Pierre MP urges a commission of inquiry on the closure of Petrotrin.
It was “rather ironic” that government was undertaking a commission of enquiry into the acquisition of land for the Point Fortin highway extension project, “yet one of the greatest acts of mismanagement which has been committed against our taxpayers, the destruction of Petrotrin remains unsolved. If this administration was really serious in holding those accountable for the misappropriation and blatant corrupt use of state funds they would … confirm to the population of TT who were the individuals that were solely responsible for destroying our national patrimony.”
If there was any single act which ever warranted … a commission of enquiry, it was the “Petrotrin debacle, due to the massive trauma it has caused our population with thousands being thrown onto the breadline, fence line businesses and communities being destroyed as well as our energy security being totally diminished. While the government grasps at straws in this current political witch hunt aimed at changing the narrative, our population is still seeking answers to the many inaccurate and questionable details which were put forward concerning Petrotrin.”
“These questions include, how could the Prime Minister say that the refinery was past its prime yet numerous entities placed bids for it? How could the government say that Petrotrin was making a loss yet made a profit in the last year of its operations? Why did this administration purposefully derail refinancing attempts …at revitalising the company? What new activities are being done by these new companies that were not being done at Petrotrin before? Why were all these issues relating to Petrotrin’s restructuring kept away from the Parliamentary Joint Select Committee on Energy?“
“A commission of enquiry into Petrotrin’s debts would finally heal the wounds of our taxpayers who have all been burdened by the billions in debts which PNM appointed officials plagued the company, eventually leading to its demise. Finally our population would get the answers as to as to why the Malcolm Jones-led board wasted over $2 billion on a failed WGTL plant, why over $170 million was spent to build a new Petrotrin Administrative building which was never completed and why auditors discovered in 2017 that $80 million was paid for oil that was never received by Petrotrin. Further, our country would be fully enlightened as to why the proceedings to ascertain those accountable for these debts were derailed by this Government.
“The Petrotrin restructuring process has been shrouded in …secrecy… given that it was not based on the best interest of our country but rather on the self-gain of a few. Our population deserves answers. If this government says that they want transparency across the board, they must investigate if criminal proceedings could be brought against those who destroyed Petrotrin also. Undertake a Commission of Enquiry into Petrotrin now, not tomorrow.”
OWTU
Oilfields Workers’ Trade Union accused the Prime Minister of distorting figures saying that an average of $.5 million was paid as severance to each Petrotrin worker when the company closed.
The PM said that “no one was tossed onto the pavement to suffer.” Taxpayers paid out $2.7 billion to 4,626 workers. Many have since been employed somewhere. He admitted others were unemployed.
“But …… if you divide $2700 million between 4,626 workers, that is an average of about half a million per person. But of course, it’s not simple as that. The higher-paid persons with the longer service would have got more, … lower-paid people with the shorter service would have got less. …”
3,400 were permanent while 1,226 were casual and temporary. When Petrotrin restructured, the Board of Directors said that 800 would be employed for Exploration and Production operations and another 200 to man the terminal facility.
Of the 800 positions at Heritage Petroleum, 147 people were directly employed by the company and contractors accounted for 534, bringing the total count to 681. Of the 200 positions at the Paria Fuel Trading Company, 129 were hired of which 99 were employed by a contractor.
OWTU said Rowley again showed his disconnect from reality. The statements showed no concern for the suffering of thousands of workers who are yet to find jobs. “The Prime Minister did not mention that 3,000 temporary and casual workers got absolutely nothing. The Prime Minister did not mention that none of the sport club workers got nothing at all. He seems very unconcerned that the young workers, who were now starting their families, who had mortgages and loans, got next to nothing. So much so that their vehicles are being repossessed, some have had to seek help to save their homes and many of them have not got any job for all these months.”
While Rowley threw out employment figures, he was challenged to show how many were former Petrotrin workers. “You may have hired 681 at Heritage, but how many were Petrotrin workers? Don’t put that out there, give a proper breakdown and say how many were Petrotrin Workers.”
Because the government failed to honour payment to Petrotrin’s trustee, the bank is threatening to shut down the pension plan.
Commission of Enquiry into highway
Minister of Communications, National Security and Minister in the Office of the Prime Minister, announced that Cabinet will initiate a commission of enquiry to examine the circumstances in which over $500 million was paid to homeowners to acquire land for the extension of the highway from San Fernando to Point Fortin. The commission will determine whether criminal or civil proceedings should be brought against those involved. Cabinet was concerned about the functions of a ministerial oversight committee appointed in 2011, chaired by the then prime minister.
A report was requested by the Ministry of Works following a study it conducted into compensation for the highway extension project and found that while $800 million was allocated for land acquisition, over $500 million had already been spent. Yet, the process of land acquisition is not near completion. Over 520 properties were acquired and paid for by state and 459 properties remain to be acquired.
The commission is to be chaired by retired judge Sebastian Ventour assisted by attorney Gregory Delzin. Senior Counsel Reginald Amour will also serve , assisted by attorneys Venessa Gopaul and Rishi Dass.
It will oversee the project’s funding and time-delivery and to ensure that proper monitoring and evaluation were undertaken for the country to receive value for money.
The study found that the committee hired private entities, including lawyers, for the negotiations for compensation. They too seemed to have been paid excessively. With regard to the compensation , the report found that some people were paid for land that was no longer needed for the construction of the highway.
One person received $50 million and then made a claim for an additional $30 million. Four persons in a household were compensated for the same property. One of the persons doing the valuation of land, later “unjustifiably” increased the value of land that he had already submitted.
Government put a pause on any further monies for the acquisition of land and asked the technical team at the Works Ministry for a report. The terms of the Commission of Enquiry are extensive and among them is to inquire whether the ministerial committee fulfilled its mandate, to look at the circumstances in which the state acquire or has taken steps to acquire properties that are no longer required and the process by which the state and or the National Infrastructure Development Company (Nidco) approved the acquisitions and compensation.
The commission will look for breach of duties and whether criminal, civil proceedings should be initiated.
It will recommend a process to be utilised as the standard going forward so that taxpayers would not be subjected to any abuse of office.
Reaction to CoE
“Would he also be looking into the land acquisition in the Curepe Interchange project? Did he say?” Persad-Bissessr asked in Tunapuna.... “Would it include fake oil? These and many other issues are worthy of Commissions of Enquiry,” she said referring to the $100 million oil scandal involving A&V Oil company and defunct Petrotrin.“I have no problem with any CoE.. in the fourth year.. on the doorstep of your way out. I don’t see what they hope to get.”
The CoE was an attempt to distract the population from the government’s failings. “They are seeking to distract from their own incompetence and their inability to govern.” She questioned the legality of the Finance Minister’s letter to Paria Trading chairman waiving the company’s $388 million Value Added Tax, which was a misstep.“.. Section 124 of the Income Tax Act says that the President can give a waiver or a remission of the VAT as I understand it. But here we have the Minister of Finance waiving the VAT.”
That letter stated “In May, 2019 the government of the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago agreed that in accordance with the provision of section 55 (2) of the Value Added Tax Act Chap 75:06, which applies Section 124 of the Income Tax Act, Chap 75:01, to remission to VAT Act in the sum, $382,499,481,83 on cargoes of refined petroleum products imported by Paria Fuel Trading Company Limited as at April 30th 2019..” Persad-Bissessar questioned whether the Minister had the authority to to assist the company with its cash flow. “It is my respectful view that this was incorrectly done and that the Minister of Finance should have issued a legal notice to the world and not just to the chairman of Paria.”
A legal letter would also inform the Board of Inland Revenue. “Can the Minister of Finance simply advise the chairman of Paria Trading that they have remitted the VAT to the tune of 385 million as of April 2019? If it’s true and this is only up to April, so by … the end of the fiscal year, its another 388.5 million. It appears that this is a way to cook the books, as a ruse, as a sleight of hand to make the company profitable. That’s all it is on paper. The VAT is already collected at the pumps, so you the customer is already paying the VAT, already paid it up to April, so what is happening with that money? It is already recorded on the Paria books to make it look as though they were making a profit.” Persad-Bissessar said one of the reasons given for closing Petrotrin was that the company was not paying taxes. “But… you complain that they not paying taxes, we shut you down and then .. you say ok, I’m not taking tax. They make it up as they go along…” she said. Persad-Bissessar accused the Prime Minister and FInance Minister of “spinning” the downgrade by Standards and Poor. “How could a downgrade ever be a good thing for Trinidad and Tobago? Unless the government does something to address the problem, we are falling off a slope, we are down into the precipice. The downgrade means our debt repayment capacity is now more challenging, we will face increased difficulty is accessing borrowing and loans, given the decline in our revenues as it is it is also going to impact on foreign diet investment. Since this government came into power there has been no foreign direct investment.”
Petrotrin used to a net earner of foreign exchange, but now Paria Trading has to find foreign exchange to pay to import fuels and because they are selling to local suppliers like NP and Unipet, they earn TT dollars.
“We lost the foreign exchange we were earning,” she said.
Venezuelan crisis
Questions remain over the legal status of Venezuelan migrants, with no official asylum policy. While Venezuelans must hold a valid passport and visa, amnesty was offered to Venezuelans already in the country. 16,500 people who registered during May 31 to June 14 received work permits for six months or one year, basic medical care and a photo ID. There is uncertainty associated with the lack of asylum legislation, not least for those who arrived after the two-week window. Business highlighted positive outcomes with potential productivity and macroeconomic benefits while politicians and the public express concerns.
Sudesh Botha, of geospatial and engineering design company Giscad said Venezuelans see T&T as their next opportunity and… arrive with highly ambitious mindsets. This could have a noticeably positive impact on the economy overall. The population increase could have beneficial effects in the food, beverage and tobacco industry, the country’s largest manufacturing subsector.
“An increasing demographic trend … is a good thing. An increase of 4% in the formal labour market creates a net contribution to society and has the knock-on effect of more consumers ...” said beverage company Blue Waters. Citibank echoed this sentiment as the influx would lead to a “net benefit” as “.. migrant workers assist in filling the gaps in traditional low-skilled sectors.. but the retail sector will also receive a boost. If handled correctly, this could help kick-start the economy.”
Latin American connections
Venezuelans could help build stronger trade relations with the rest of Latin America.
Separated by 15 km of water, Venezuela and T&T enjoy close ties, as evidenced by their collaboration on oil and gas. T&T has limited trade links with South America and Spanish-speakers could enable greater engagement with the continent. Companies view migration favourably and welcome arrival of native Spanish speakers. T&T could position itself as a launch pad for other markets which would provide more scope for trade. Companies are hiring Venezuelans to help expansion plans in the continent.
Government and business are evaluating the potential impact of significant numbers of migrants entering, amid the political, economic and migration crisis in Venezuela. UN estimated that of 4 million who fled Venezuela some 60,000 arrived, 2.86% of T&T’s population. This is the highest rate in the region, above the 2.65% recorded in Colombia, with 1.3m migrants. Concerned over economic consequences of the recent influx, the governor of the Central Bank of Trinidad and Tobago said the economy could be affected with an economic cost of around $620m a year. There are particular concerns over the impact on labour, housing and public sector programmes such as national insurance and health care. While Colombia received a World Bank grant of $31.5m T&T has yet to receive external financial aid. The governor cited access to a $100m grant from the Inter-American Development Bank, for neighbouring countries receiving Venezuelan migrants.
International taxpayers are again appalled by repeated refusal to accept aid for beleaguered citizens, reeling from annual floods, crime, homelessness, disease and unemployment.
Flooded Oilfields
In 2017 ECO donated a dinghy to rescue rural victims in flooded oilfields and farms in abandoned southern districts, where a baby was born in a swamp. In 2018, ECO donated 2 dinghies for northern and eastern districts neglected by a stagnant ODPM and moribund military. Refusal to declare a disaster hindered the Red Cross but eventually the state stashed USD10 million in foreign aid. In 2019 the USA donated dinghies to councils. As pirates killed fishermen, military steelbands entertained in Scotland and the president attends the event as murders approach 350 and a minister is on bail for fraud.
Flooding in Los Bajos and Erin affected over 100 residents with extensive damage to crops, livestock and household articles. A tributary broke its banks, demolishing a wall behind a shop, Radesh Rampersad said “I am so upset .. because my expensive compressor, battery chargers, drills and other equipment got damaged by the water. The wall fell because of the amount of water …. It was over four feet and it brought all kinds of rubbish into the shop.”
In November he complained to the MP Nicole Olivierre, former Energy Minister, but nothing was done to dredge the river. Recently he took a loan from a money lender to buy equipment after he got a contract with Massy Energies. Chairman of the Palo Seco/Erin Justice Committee visited the area and said the floods were caused by poor drainage and a lack of preparation by the Ministry of Works to dredge the Los Iros River.
“… it is very sad to see so many residents suffering. .. people cannot get out of their homes.”
Los Iros River had not been completely dredged since 1995. “The river was supposed to be about 22 feet wide but in some places, it closed up to about 4 feet wide. There are big trees growing in the river. The Ministry has done some work in a few places but it is not enough. The water cannot flow from the river into the sea so it is filling the residential communities.”
Parents were unable to enter Palo Seco Secondary School as the floodwaters were too high. Olivierre has been touring the affected areas. First responder agencies have been on site and to see that the water is subsiding rapidly. Once an assessment is done, assistance will be given. Some dredging had been done on the rivers .
Guyana meets investors
The business community received invitations from the High Commissioner of Guyana to the to attend an investor outreach by a seven-member delegation from the Guyana government.
A local opposition MP objected to the caretaker Government of President David Granger raising investments. UNC urges establishment of a TT High Commission in Georgetown.
OBITUARY
Dennis Patrick 1957-2019
The Chief Executive of Officer of Trinidad Methanol Holding Limited, Dennis Patrick, in the United States, after seeking treatment at the Jackson Memorial Hospital, Miami.
The Chemical Engineer joined MHTL in 1996. He worked in the Commercial Department, ascending to the role of Chief Commerical Officer. He became Chief Executive Officer after Rampersad Motilal surprisingly resigned in 2013, initially acting in the role before being confirmed in the position.
He served the Energy Sector for over 35 years.